What really happens after a pump.fun Boost? We tracked 642 graduations
When a meme graduates on pump.fun, the platform turns on its Boost: it buys back and burns about 17.6 SOL of the token over roughly five minutes. Charts go vertical. We followed 642 graduations to see what happens next.
The short version
โข Half (50%) of boosted memes lost half their price within ten minutes.
โข With a pool under $10k, that rises to 71%. With a pool of $30k or more, it falls to 23%.
โข Memes from serial creators crashed 66% of the time; first launches, 41%.
What is the pump.fun Boost?
A pump.fun meme starts on a bonding curve. Once the curve fills, the token "graduates" and moves to PumpSwap, pump.fun's own exchange. At that moment pump.fun uses part of the migration funds to buy the token back and burn it for about five minutes. It's a real buyer, and it's visible to everyone, which is exactly why so many traders time their exit to it.
How we measured
Our tracker sees every graduation live on-chain. For each one it reads the price on PumpSwap every 15 seconds for twelve minutes, plus the pool size and recent buys and sells. We take the price 30 seconds after graduation as the reference, then ask two questions:
- Did it crash? The price fell below half of the reference within ten minutes.
- Did it rise? The price reached at least 20% above the reference at some point.
Obviously broken price readings are removed. Real crashes are kept, because they are the whole point.
The results, profile by profile
| Profile at graduation | Memes | Crashed โ50% | Rose +20% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pool under $10k | 224 | 71% | 32% |
| Serial creator (3+ launches in 24 h) | 212 | 66% | 38% |
| Pool $10kโ30k | 219 | 55% | 61% |
| All graduations | 642 | 50% | 52% |
| Creator's first launch (7 days) | 361 | 41% | 60% |
| Pool $30k or more | 199 | 23% | 64% |
What it means
The pool is the first thing to check. A thin pool means a single seller can move the price a lot, and so can you when you try to exit. Seven in ten boosted memes with less than $10k of liquidity lost half their value within ten minutes.
Serial creators are the second. A wallet that launched three or more memes in the previous day is running a production line, not a project. Their graduations crashed two times out of three.
"Rose 20%" does not mean you make 20%. Prices move in seconds after graduation, the displayed price often lags, and fees on small trades add up. Many memes rise first and crash right after: that's the Boost trap.
What this is not
This is not a trading strategy. We tested hundreds of entry and exit rules on the same data: once fees and real crashes are included, none showed a reliable edge. These numbers tell you which boosted memes are most dangerous, not which ones will make money. They come from the first days of tracking, so they will move as the sample grows.
See it live. The Eburon live map flags every graduation as it happens, with its pool size and creator history.
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Data: public Solana on-chain activity and PumpSwap prices via DexScreener, collected by the Eburon tracker. Not financial advice.